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John Melby’s 2025 Market Insights

I’m excited to share some insights on the current state of the energy sector in 2025! Like many other commodities, energy is heavily influenced by geopolitical events. Shifts in global policies create market volatility but also open up new opportunities. Despite these fluctuations, the long-term trends remain clear. 

Let’s explore the latest developments: 

 

AI’s Power Hunger 

AI is growing fast, but it’s also consuming more energy. By 2025, data centers will use a significant amount of electricity, with AI-related energy use expected to rise by 50% annually from 2023 to 2030. However, investments in energy-efficient hardware and smart designs will help manage this growth. 

 

Distributed Generation Rises 

Distributed generation is on the rise, with smaller energy sources like solar panels and wind turbines providing local power. This trend increases energy independence and stability for communities. Different regions are using various strategies for success, with investment tools like blended finance and sustainable bonds attracting investments. 

 

Renewable Energy Booms 

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is reporting: by 2025, over a third of the world’s electricity will come from renewables. While the world is likely to remain heavily reliant on fossil fuels for the foreseeable future, thanks to advances in solar, wind, and battery storage, we’re making significant progress toward a greener future. 

 

Clean Tech Takes Off 

Clean hydrogen, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and sustainable fuels are the future. These technologies are crucial for net-zero emissions targets, with heavy investment from the government and private sectors. Clean hydrogen is moving from plans to action, and CCS is gaining traction. Instead of announcing new projects, we’ll focus on improving existing ones. Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) are also on the rise, with the aviation industry committed to reducing its carbon footprint. 

 

Carbon Markets Merge 

2025 will be an important year in carbon markets. Programs like CORSIA are leading the way, allowing voluntary credits to meet mandatory goals. Equally impactful will be the implementation of agreements reached at COP 29 in Azerbaijan on Article 6. The integration of compliance and voluntary markets will enhance emissions reductions and make a significant impact. 

 

So there you have it—2025 is shaping up to be an exciting year in the energy sector. Let’s get ready for the journey ahead!